Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Juve Stabia v Cesena FC

2026-09-18 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prévision 41.17%2.43cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.47%41.10%41.17%42.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.34%45.45%42.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cesena FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.93%3.34cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.837%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.92%29.88%30.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.34%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.90%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.728%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%28.97%28.95%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.48%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Juve Stabia (Local) : 41.17% ; Cesena FC (Visiteur) : 29.93% ; Match nul : 28.90%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.40, pour une espérance de -1.75% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -2.43%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:00
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -4.90%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -8.71%E -2.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.73%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.71%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -1.75%E -0.514%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 20:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:51
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 18:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.60%E -3.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.60%E -3.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 18:51
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.43%E -4.28%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:49
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:46
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.72%E -0.837%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.49%E -5.34%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.52%EV -11.10%E -3.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.54%E -6.45%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -14.37%E -6.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-12 18:51
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -17.66%E -8.83%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -11.70%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-12 17:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.09%16.1%2026-09-12 18:51