Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juve Stabia v Carrarese

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.57%45.55%45.38%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.032.052.1055.56%49.34%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carrarese (Visit)

Prediction 24.42%4.10fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.124%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.48%24.31%24.48%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.693.634.3629.85%27.13%27.59%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%30.15%30.13%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.023.063.2540.00%33.16%32.68%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juve Stabia (Local): 45.49%; Carrarese (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 30.10%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.98%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.20%EV +6.45%E +1.48%K +1.92%G +0.124%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV +2.54%E +0.606%K +0.795%G +0.020%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -10.39%E -5.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +0.102%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -8.57%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.20%EV -1.36%E -0.337%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.63%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.68%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -3.56%E -0.901%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.47%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.19%E -0.673%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 45.32%EV -18.12%E -10.07%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.05%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.63%EV -24.76%E -9.90%K -16.51%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-14 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -15.39%E -8.27%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 13:38
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.90%EV -16.76%E -9.16%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 13:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -13.33%E -3.75%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 13:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -18.21%E -5.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96%2.6%2026-03-14 13:55