L’École des cotes

Juve Stabia v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prévision 45.49%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%45.55%45.38%46.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.032.052.1055.56%49.34%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.42%4.10cote équitable
EV +6.45%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.48%24.31%24.48%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.693.634.3629.85%27.13%27.59%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.10%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.973%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%30.15%30.13%33.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.023.063.2540.00%33.16%32.68%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.98%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.20%EV +6.45%E +1.48%K +1.92%G +0.124%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV +2.54%E +0.606%K +0.795%G +0.020%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -10.39%E -5.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +0.102%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:35
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -8.57%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.20%EV -1.36%E -0.337%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.63%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.68%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 13:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -3.56%E -0.901%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.47%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:45
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 13:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.19%E -0.673%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 13:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:44
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 45.32%EV -18.12%E -10.07%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.05%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.63%EV -24.76%E -9.90%K -16.51%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-14 13:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -15.39%E -8.27%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 13:38
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.90%EV -16.76%E -9.16%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 13:53
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -13.33%E -3.75%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 13:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -18.21%E -5.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96%2.6%2026-03-14 13:55