La escuela de los momios

Juve Stabia v Carrarese

Inicio: 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Predicción 45.49%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%45.55%45.38%46.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.032.052.1055.56%49.34%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Carrarese (Visitante)

Predicción 24.42%4.10momio equitativo
EV +6.45%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.124%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.48%24.31%24.48%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.693.634.3629.85%27.13%27.59%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.10%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -0.973%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.52%30.15%30.13%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.023.063.2540.00%33.16%32.68%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.98%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.20%EV +6.45%E +1.48%K +1.92%G +0.124%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV +2.54%E +0.606%K +0.795%G +0.020%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -10.39%E -5.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +0.102%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:35
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -8.57%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.17%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -1.12%E -0.276%K -0.367%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:40
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -7.66%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.20%EV -1.36%E -0.337%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.63%EV -7.91%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 13:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -2.34%E -0.585%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.68%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 13:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -3.56%E -0.901%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.47%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:45
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -4.78%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 13:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.19%E -0.673%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 13:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:44
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 45.32%EV -18.12%E -10.07%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.05%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.63%EV -24.76%E -9.90%K -16.51%G +0.000%22.6%2026-03-14 13:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -15.39%E -8.27%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 13:38
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.90%EV -16.76%E -9.16%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.51%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.59%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 13:53
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.11%E -3.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -13.33%E -3.75%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 13:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 13:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.55%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.77%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -16.99%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -18.21%E -5.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96%2.6%2026-03-14 13:55