Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona v Vicenza

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:02 UTC

Final: Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 50.70%1.97fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.84%50.77%50.68%53.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.821.831.9060.24%54.81%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vicenza (Visit)

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +0.889%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%22.34%22.50%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.054.004.6427.78%24.71%25.00%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%26.90%26.82%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.39%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hellas Verona (Local): 50.70%; Vicenza (Visit): 22.44%; Draw: 26.86%. For Vicenza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.83%EV +4.13%E +0.889%K +1.13%G +0.047%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 12:49
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.23%E +0.702%K +0.897%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:53
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.87%EV +2.33%E +0.511%K +0.655%G +0.015%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -10.28%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -12.80%E -7.44%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV +0.984%E +0.219%K +0.281%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 12:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.83%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -2.83%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 12:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -9.20%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.27%E -5.80%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.30%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 12:58
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:44
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 12:44
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 12:34
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -11.79%E -6.77%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -14.05%E -3.67%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -11.89%E -3.63%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 12:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 12:09
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -9.25%E -5.17%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.98%EV -15.84%E -9.54%K -24.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.57%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-20 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -19.21%E -5.34%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-09-20 12:59
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.03%1.9%2026-09-20 12:59