L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Hellas Verona v Vicenza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 13:02 UTC

Score final : Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prévision 50.70%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.84%50.77%50.68%53.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.831.9060.24%54.81%54.64%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vicenza (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV +4.13%
Avantage +0.889%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.20%22.34%22.50%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.054.004.6427.78%24.71%25.00%21.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%26.90%26.82%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.39%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hellas Verona (Local) : 50.70% ; Vicenza (Visiteur) : 22.44% ; Match nul : 26.86%. Pour Vicenza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.46. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.64, soit une espérance positive de +4.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.40%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.83%EV +4.13%E +0.889%K +1.13%G +0.047%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 12:49
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.23%E +0.702%K +0.897%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:53
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.87%EV +2.33%E +0.511%K +0.655%G +0.015%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -10.28%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -12.80%E -7.44%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV +0.984%E +0.219%K +0.281%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:54
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -1.26%E -0.286%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.70%E -3.91%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 12:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.83%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -2.83%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 12:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -9.20%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.27%E -5.80%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -16.73%E -5.40%K -7.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.30%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 12:58
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:44
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:54
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 12:44
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -4.69%E -2.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 12:34
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -13.60%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -11.79%E -6.77%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -14.05%E -3.67%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -11.89%E -3.63%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 12:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 12:09
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -14.72%E -3.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -9.25%E -5.17%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.98%EV -15.84%E -9.54%K -24.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.57%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-20 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -12.29%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -19.21%E -5.34%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-09-20 12:59
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.03%1.9%2026-09-20 12:59