Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona v Ascoli

2026-08-23 17:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 60.11%1.66fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.96%59.98%60.21%60.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.511.491.6071.94%66.41%67.11%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ascoli (Visit)

Prediction 15.58%6.42fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.54%15.58%15.52%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.766.006.5021.98%17.37%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -0.913%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.44%24.27%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.283.673.704.0030.49%27.22%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hellas Verona (Local): 60.11%; Ascoli (Visit): 15.58%; Draw: 24.31%. For Ascoli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.42. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +1.26%E +0.194%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.41%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.12%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 16:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.43%EV -5.59%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.23%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 16:50
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 18:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.64%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 16:50
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.74%E -0.685%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 16:49
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 16:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.32%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 16:50
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.77%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -15.88%E -2.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-04 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -11.04%E -7.46%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.87%EV -12.85%E -8.86%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.74%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-04 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 59.04%EV -16.45%E -11.84%K -42.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.09%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.87%EV -19.76%E -5.99%K -8.59%G +0.000%21.9%2026-08-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.08%EV -12.24%E -8.39%K -26.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -23.67%E -4.83%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.96%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.45%EV -29.12%E -6.40%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 25.59%EV -20.25%E -6.17%K -8.88%G +0.000%19.1%2026-08-04 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.