Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hellas Verona v Ascoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 17:00 UTC

Score final : Hellas Verona 1–2 Ascoli

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prévision 53.63%1.86cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -5.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.77%53.64%53.61%57.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.691.701.7965.36%59.01%58.82%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ascoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.11%5.23cote équitable
EV +7.02%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.107%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%19.06%19.04%21.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.814.755.6023.81%20.79%21.05%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.26%3.67cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.812%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%27.30%27.35%30.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.023.453.403.7533.11%29.01%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hellas Verona (Local) : 53.63% ; Ascoli (Visiteur) : 19.11% ; Match nul : 27.26%. Pour Ascoli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +7.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +7.02%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.107%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -10.85%E -3.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 16:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +3.20%E +0.592%K +0.726%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +3.20%E +0.592%K +0.726%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +3.20%E +0.592%K +0.726%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:49
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.64%EV +2.81%E +0.523%K +0.643%G +0.018%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -9.37%E -5.54%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV +1.29%E +0.243%K +0.299%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +0.330%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV +0.330%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:49
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV +2.23%E +0.596%K +0.812%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-23 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.83%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -2.54%E -0.497%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -8.67%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:55
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 16:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.49%E -2.86%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:53
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:49
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -16.34%E -10.48%K -29.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -4.45%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -0.493%E -0.135%K -0.186%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 04:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.36%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.76%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -1.86%E -0.516%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -17.67%E -5.85%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.25%EV -15.27%E -9.66%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -3.22%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.25%EV -15.27%E -9.66%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -3.22%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.41%EV -15.81%E -10.07%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -3.22%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -13.12%E -8.10%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.18%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.18%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.85%EV -11.51%E -6.98%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.55%EV -10.18%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.59%EV -16.85%E -5.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-23 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.09%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -1.86%E -0.516%K -0.714%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -9.37%E -5.54%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.09%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -1.86%E -0.516%K -0.714%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.10%EV -17.95%E -11.73%K -33.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%EV -12.09%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.77%EV -12.59%E -7.72%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -13.05%E -2.87%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -14.00%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -14.00%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:49
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -14.00%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -14.00%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -8.83%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -14.00%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:53
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -15.91%E -3.62%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.83%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -15.91%E -3.62%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -9.91%E -5.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -15.91%E -3.62%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -8.67%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -16.87%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.67%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 16:54
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.25%E -3.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.25%E -3.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 16:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.25%E -3.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 16:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:49
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.22%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.2%2026-08-23 16:55
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-23 16:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-23 16:55