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Hellas Verona v Ascoli
Resultado del partido
Hellas Verona (Local)
Predicción 60.11%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -6.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.96%59.98%60.21%60.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.511.491.6071.94%66.41%67.11%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ascoli (Visitante)
Predicción 15.58%6.42momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.229%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.54%15.58%15.52%18.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.555.766.006.5021.98%17.37%16.67%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.44%24.27%25.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.283.673.704.0030.49%27.22%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hellas Verona (Local): 60.11%; Ascoli (Visitante): 15.58%; Empate: 24.31%. Para Ascoli (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.42. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.59%EV -6.23%E -4.00%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +1.26%E +0.194%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.86%EV -8.04%E -5.25%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.41%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.12%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -6.83%E -4.41%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.43%EV -5.59%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.23%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.57%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.53%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.64%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -3.83%E -2.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.74%E -0.685%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.63%E -3.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.42%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.47%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.32%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.77%EV -10.44%E -7.01%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -15.88%E -2.94%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -11.04%E -7.46%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.87%EV -12.85%E -8.86%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.74%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 59.04%EV -16.45%E -11.84%K -42.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.09%EV -20.55%E -4.03%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.87%EV -19.76%E -5.99%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 21.9% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.08%EV -12.24%E -8.39%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -23.67%E -4.83%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.96%EV -9.84%E -6.56%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.45%EV -29.12%E -6.40%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 25.59%EV -20.25%E -6.17%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.