A Escola das Odds

Frosinone v Padova

Início: 2026-04-05 15:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Previsão 67.22%1.49odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -7.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.93%67.01%67.34%69.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.73%72.46%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Padova (Visitante)

Previsão 13.73%7.28odd justa
EV +6.41%
Vantagem +0.827%
Kelly +0.950%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.19%13.79%13.68%16.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.406.596.507.7518.52%15.18%15.38%12.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.05%5.25odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.332%
Kelly -0.411%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.43%19.20%18.99%21.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.724.705.1625.00%21.17%21.28%19.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +6.41%E +0.827%K +0.950%G +0.061%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:13
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 15:14
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.57%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 15:14
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.21%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV +0.368%E +0.050%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.64%EV -1.71%E -0.332%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 15:14
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -2.52%E -0.354%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.74%EV -3.43%E -0.676%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:14
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:15
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:15
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:14
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -4.57%E -0.658%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:14
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:15
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:15
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.96%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 15:14
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 15:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:15
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -7.62%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:14
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:12
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-05 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -9.92%E -7.41%K -29.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -11.43%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 15:13
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -12.61%E -9.70%K -42.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.86%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:12
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.78%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -16.25%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -16.19%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 15:15
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:14
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -23.81%E -5.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-05 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -21.74%E -3.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -25.86%E -4.79%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -18.09%E -4.21%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%1.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%2.0%2026-04-05 15:15