La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Frosinone v Padova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frosinone (Local)
Predicción 67.22%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -7.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.93%67.01%67.34%69.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.73%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Padova (Visitante)
Predicción 13.73%7.28momio equitativo
EV +6.41%
Ventaja +0.827%
Kelly +0.950%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.19%13.79%13.68%16.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.596.507.7518.52%15.18%15.38%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.05%5.25momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.411%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.43%19.20%18.99%21.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.724.705.1625.00%21.17%21.28%19.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +6.41%E +0.827%K +0.950%G +0.061% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.57%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.21%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV +0.368%E +0.050%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.64%EV -1.71%E -0.332%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -2.52%E -0.354%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.74%EV -3.43%E -0.676%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -4.57%E -0.658%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.96%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -7.62%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:12 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -9.92%E -7.41%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -11.43%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 15:13 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -12.61%E -9.70%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.86%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 15:12 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.78%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -16.25%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -16.19%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -23.81%E -5.95%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -21.74%E -3.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -25.86%E -4.79%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -18.09%E -4.21%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.98% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |