L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Padova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 15:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 67.22%1.49cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -7.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.93%67.01%67.34%69.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.73%72.46%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Padova (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.73%7.28cote équitable
EV +6.41%
Avantage +0.827%
Kelly +0.950%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 7.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.19%13.79%13.68%16.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.596.507.7518.52%15.18%15.38%12.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.05%5.25cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.411%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.43%19.20%18.99%21.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.724.705.1625.00%21.17%21.28%19.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV +6.41%E +0.827%K +0.950%G +0.061%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:13
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 15:14
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.98%E +0.397%K +0.458%G +0.014%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -8.57%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 15:14
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.21%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.16%EV +0.368%E +0.050%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.64%EV -1.71%E -0.332%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 15:14
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -2.52%E -0.354%K -0.412%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.74%EV -3.43%E -0.676%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:14
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:15
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:15
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:14
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 15:15
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -4.57%E -0.658%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:14
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:15
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.08%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -6.63%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.81%EV -2.85%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:15
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.96%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 15:14
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.80%EV -8.01%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.68%EV -5.71%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 15:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.76%E -0.952%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:15
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -7.62%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:14
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:12
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.47%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:15
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-05 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.13%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -9.92%E -7.41%K -29.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -11.43%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 15:13
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -12.61%E -9.70%K -42.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.86%EV -13.50%E -2.14%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -14.19%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:12
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.78%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -16.25%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -16.19%E -3.68%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 15:15
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:14
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 15:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -10.60%E -7.97%K -32.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -23.81%E -5.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-05 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -21.74%E -3.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -25.86%E -4.79%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -18.09%E -4.21%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%1.3%2026-04-05 15:15
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%2.0%2026-04-05 15:15