Empoli v Cremonese

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

32%

37%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Empoli (Local)

Prediction 32.27%3.10fair odd

EV -3.18%

Edge -1.06%

Kelly -1.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.77%32.27%32.37%33.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.552.742.753.0039%37%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cremonese (Visit)

Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd

EV -5.60%

Edge -2.22%

Kelly -3.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.30%37.46%36.90%38.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.252.412.452.5244%41%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd

EV -1.63%

Edge -0.503%

Kelly -0.726%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.33%30.27%30.73%30.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.953.003.2536%34%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -1.63%E -0.503%K -0.726%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-23 23:04
FanDuel	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-23 20:00
Betsson	2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.99%E -3.19%K -4.94%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
NordicBet	2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.99%E -3.19%K -4.94%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 36.58%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
1xBet	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
Unibet (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.27%EV -14.47%E -5.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.18%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-07-23 19:59
Sky Bet	2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -15.12%E -5.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-07-23 22:30
Betclic (FR)	2.62I 38.17%NM 32.36%EV -15.44%E -5.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 37.35%EV -14.97%E -6.59%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.28%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-07-23 20:03
Winamax (DE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.09%E -6.19%K -10.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -11.97%E -5.09%K -8.87%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%	15.5%	2026-07-23 19:59
Winamax (FR)	2.55I 39.22%NM 32.85%EV -17.70%E -6.94%K -11.42%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 37.23%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 29.92%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%	19.4%	2026-07-23 20:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.