Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Empoli v Cremonese

Início: 2026-08-22 19:01 UTC

Final: Empoli 1–0 Cremonese

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Empoli (Local)

Previsão 29.99%3.33odd justa
EV +0.482%
Vantagem +0.144%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.54%29.96%30.02%31.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.033.003.3537.04%32.96%33.33%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cremonese (Visitante)

Previsão 39.81%2.51odd justa
EV -0.474%
Vantagem -0.190%
Kelly -0.316%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.20%39.75%39.83%40.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.72%43.48%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.19%3.31odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.99%30.29%30.15%32.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.11%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Empoli (Local): 29.99%; Cremonese (Visitante): 39.81%; Empate: 30.19%. Para Empoli (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.33. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.482%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV +0.482%E +0.144%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -6.70%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.02%E -0.308%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.52%E -0.775%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:24
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -3.72%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.06%EV -6.84%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.65%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 14:14
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:48
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:09
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -7.64%E -3.29%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:20
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:24
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:24
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 12:49
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:05
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:10
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:48
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:09
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:09
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:09
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:34
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:33
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 14:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:58
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:49
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.42%E -5.64%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.42%E -5.64%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 29.73%EV -12.42%E -4.25%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.01%EV -13.61%E -6.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.25%EV -13.34%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.02%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -14.52%E -5.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.04%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -19.01%E -7.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-22 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20