Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Empoli v Cremonese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 19:01 UTC

Score final : Empoli 1–0 Cremonese

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Empoli (Local)

Prévision 29.99%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.482%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.205%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.54%29.96%30.02%31.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.003.3537.04%32.96%33.33%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cremonese (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.81%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.474%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.316%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.20%39.75%39.83%40.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.342.302.5046.08%42.72%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.19%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.99%30.29%30.15%32.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.11%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Empoli (Local) : 29.99% ; Cremonese (Visiteur) : 39.81% ; Match nul : 30.19%. Pour Empoli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.33. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.482%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV +0.482%E +0.144%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -6.70%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.02%E -0.308%K -0.443%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.52%E -0.775%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:24
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -3.72%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.06%EV -6.84%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.65%E -2.38%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 14:14
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:48
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:09
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -7.64%E -3.29%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 15:20
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:24
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.02%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:24
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 12:49
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:05
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.05%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:10
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:48
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:09
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 14:09
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%EV -10.02%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:09
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:34
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:33
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 14:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:58
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.23%E -4.05%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:49
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.42%E -5.64%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:45
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -0.474%E -0.190%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -11.52%E -3.90%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.42%E -5.64%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 29.73%EV -12.42%E -4.25%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.01%EV -13.61%E -6.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.25%EV -13.34%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.02%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -10.43%E -4.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -14.52%E -5.09%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.04%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -16.02%E -5.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -13.94%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -19.01%E -7.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-22 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-08-22 14:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20