Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cremonese v Modena

2026-08-28 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cremonese (Local)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.83%50.10%50.18%51.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.831.851.9059.17%54.67%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modena (Visit)

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.285%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.30%21.19%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.224.7525.00%23.38%23.67%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%28.60%28.62%29.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.35%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cremonese (Local): 50.10%; Modena (Visit): 21.28%; Draw: 28.62%. For Modena (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.07%E +0.225%K +0.285%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 13:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.25%EV -6.82%E -3.67%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.68%E -0.787%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 13:17
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 13:19
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.38%EV -11.33%E -6.40%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 15:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 14:18
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 13:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:38
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.10%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.69%EV -8.08%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 13:23
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 13:18
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.78%EV -11.83%E -6.72%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -9.26%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 13:32
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:39
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 13:18
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:18
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.58%EV -15.33%E -9.07%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.67%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -11.83%E -6.72%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 13:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.33%E -7.71%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.21%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.70%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-24 16:04
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -12.83%E -7.37%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 13:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 49.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.76%16.7%2026-08-24 13:19