Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese v Modena

2026-08-28 18:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese (Local)

Previsão 50.01%2.00odd justa
EV -4.99%
Vantagem -2.63%
Kelly -5.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.79%49.96%50.07%51.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.831.851.9059.17%54.58%54.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Modena (Visitante)

Previsão 21.29%4.70odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.242%
Kelly +0.306%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.90%21.30%21.19%22.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.284.224.7525.00%23.38%23.67%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.70%3.48odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.712%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.48%28.74%28.73%30.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.42%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cremonese (Local): 50.01%; Modena (Visitante): 21.29%; Empate: 28.70%. Para Modena (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.70. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.49%E -3.47%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.15%E +0.242%K +0.306%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 13:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.25%EV -6.99%E -3.76%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.04%E -0.445%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 13:17
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -4.99%E -2.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.17%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -4.99%E -2.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.17%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 13:19
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.17%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -6.49%E -3.47%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -4.17%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -15.34%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.99%E -3.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 14:18
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 13:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 18:38
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.10%EV -6.49%E -3.47%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.69%EV -8.01%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 13:23
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.49%E -3.47%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -6.49%E -3.47%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 13:18
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.50%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.78%EV -11.99%E -6.81%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -9.50%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -9.02%E -2.85%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 13:32
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -5.49%E -2.90%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -5.49%E -2.90%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:39
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 13:18
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 13:18
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.58%EV -15.49%E -9.17%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%EV -10.56%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.67%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -11.99%E -6.81%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 13:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.49%E -7.80%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.21%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.47%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-24 16:04
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -12.99%E -7.47%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 13:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 49.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.76%16.7%2026-08-24 13:19