Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese v Modena

Início: 2026-08-28 18:32 UTC

Final: Cremonese 0–3 Modena

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese (Local)

Previsão 37.96%2.63odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.33%38.02%37.94%40.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.382.402.5647.62%41.95%41.67%39.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Modena (Visitante)

Previsão 32.13%3.11odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.387%
Kelly +0.567%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.47%32.14%32.10%33.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.912.903.1537.04%34.36%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.90%3.34odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.399%
Kelly -0.573%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.50%29.85%29.95%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.073.103.3034.72%32.62%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cremonese (Local): 37.96%; Modena (Visitante): 32.13%; Empate: 29.90%. Para Modena (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.11. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -13.44%E -5.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.22%E +0.387%K +0.567%G +0.007%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.49%EV -1.35%E -0.440%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.30%EV -4.61%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 18:21
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -15.34%E -6.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -1.99%E -0.654%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-28 17:55
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -2.32%E -0.762%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -1.32%E -0.399%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -16.48%E -7.49%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -17.24%E -7.91%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.78%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -17.24%E -7.91%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.78%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.21%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 18:25
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.17%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 18:24
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -1.32%E -0.399%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 17:55
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -20.28%E -9.66%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.52%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-28 17:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:24
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 18:21
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -7.46%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 18:21
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.13%E -3.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.13%E -3.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.05%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:24
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.03%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 18:15
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:20
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -14.58%E -6.48%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-28 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -13.82%E -6.09%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-28 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 17:51
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 17:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 17:51
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07%0.6%2026-08-28 18:25
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-08-28 18:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-08-28 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-08-28 18:21