Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.56
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cesena FC (Local): 38.51%; Sampdoria (Visit): 31.87%; Draw: 29.62%. For Cesena FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -1.42%E -0.556%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.67%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.24%E -0.679%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.24%E -0.679%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -2.80%E -0.917%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 10:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 10:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.67%E -4.60%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.67%E -4.60%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -12.59%E -5.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -13.36%E -5.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 17:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -13.36%E -5.94%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -14.13%E -6.34%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -17.05%E -6.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-18 19:08 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |