La scuola delle quote

Cesena FC v Sampdoria

Inizio: 2026-04-25 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cesena FC (Casa)

Previsione 38.51%2.60quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.556%
Kelly -0.913%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.68%38.36%38.51%40.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.372.382.5645.45%42.16%42.02%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sampdoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.87%3.14quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.917%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.56%31.92%31.84%33.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.883.0537.04%34.73%34.72%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.62%3.38quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.679%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.53%29.72%29.65%31.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.53%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -1.42%E -0.556%K -0.913%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.67%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:50
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.24%E -0.679%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.42%EV -8.76%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -3.73%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:39
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:39
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:04
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -4.50%E -1.82%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.24%E -0.679%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 23:39
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 23:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.81%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -2.80%E -0.917%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 10:39
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 23:54
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:54
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:40
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 23:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -7.58%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 10:29
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 10:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:44
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.35%E -3.51%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 10:24
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:25
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:25
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:25
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -10.28%E -4.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.67%E -4.60%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 00:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -10.67%E -4.60%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 10:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-20 10:25
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -12.59%E -5.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -13.36%E -5.94%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 17:32
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -13.36%E -5.94%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 10:25
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -14.13%E -6.34%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -15.29%E -6.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -17.05%E -6.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 19:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%2.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.6%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.6%2026-04-23 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.6%2026-04-24 00:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-04-24 00:25