The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Carrarese v Pescara

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Carrarese 2–2 Pescara

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carrarese (Local)

Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%42.96%42.89%44.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2450.00%46.62%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pescara (Visit)

Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.29%30.38%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2635.71%33.23%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +0.421%
Edge +0.112%
Kelly +0.153%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.75%26.73%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carrarese (Local): 42.95%; Pescara (Visit): 30.28%; Draw: 26.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.421%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV +0.421%E +0.112%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.76%EV -5.09%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -1.30%E -0.399%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -2.52%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -3.80%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 12:35
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.21%E -0.684%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.38%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -10.83%E -3.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -13.72%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.66%E -6.55%K -9.83%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-04-19 12:55
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-04-19 12:55