L’École des cotes

Carrarese v Pescara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : Carrarese 2–2 Pescara

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%42.96%42.89%44.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2450.00%46.62%46.51%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pescara (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.28%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.33%30.29%30.38%31.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2635.71%33.23%33.33%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.421%
Avantage +0.112%
Kelly +0.153%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.75%26.73%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV +0.421%E +0.112%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.76%EV -5.09%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -1.30%E -0.399%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -2.52%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -3.80%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 12:35
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 12:35
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.21%E -0.684%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:34
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:33
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 12:35
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.38%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -10.83%E -3.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 12:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -13.72%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:34
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.66%E -6.55%K -9.83%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-04-19 12:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-04-19 12:55