La escuela de los momios

Carrarese v Pescara

Inicio: 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Carrarese 2–2 Pescara

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Predicción 42.95%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%42.96%42.89%44.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2450.00%46.62%46.51%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pescara (Visitante)

Predicción 30.28%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.576%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.29%30.38%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2635.71%33.23%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.78%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.421%
Ventaja +0.112%
Kelly +0.153%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.75%26.73%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV +0.421%E +0.112%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.76%EV -5.09%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -1.30%E -0.399%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -2.52%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -3.80%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 12:35
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 12:35
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.77%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.21%E -0.684%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:34
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:35
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 12:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:33
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 12:25
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -12.81%E -4.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 12:35
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -6.38%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 12:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.38%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -10.83%E -3.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 12:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:35
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -7.24%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 12:55
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -8.96%E -4.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -13.72%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:34
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.11%E -7.05%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.66%E -6.55%K -9.83%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-19 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-04-19 12:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-04-19 12:55