La scuola delle quote

Carrarese v Monza

Inizio: 2026-02-21 18:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carrarese (Casa)

Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV +0.503%
Vantaggio +0.125%
Kelly +0.166%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.80%24.85%25.01%26.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.723.754.0329.85%26.89%26.67%24.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monza (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.46%2.15quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.50%46.46%46.41%47.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.961.952.0855.56%50.93%51.28%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.60%3.50quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.02%28.69%28.58%30.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.193.233.4035.71%31.36%31.01%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.03I 24.81%NM 24.01%EV +0.503%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -3.91%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 18:29
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:30
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:29
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:30
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:30
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:29
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:29
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:29
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.76%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:30
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:29
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:22
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:29
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:30
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-21 18:30
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:29
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:29
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:29
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:29
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 18:29
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:29
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:29
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:30
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:30
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-21 18:30
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.92%E -7.12%K -11.07%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 18:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.65%E -6.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -14.46%E -4.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.68%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 18:27
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-21 18:30
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-21 18:30
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%5.1%2026-02-21 18:30