La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carrarese v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carrarese (Local)
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV +0.503%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.80%24.85%25.01%26.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.723.754.0329.85%26.89%26.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 46.46%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.50%46.46%46.41%47.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.952.0855.56%50.93%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.02%28.69%28.58%30.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.233.4035.71%31.36%31.01%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.01%EV +0.503%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -3.91%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| BetUS | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.76%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:22 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.92%E -7.12%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.65%E -6.73%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -14.46%E -4.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.68%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 18:27 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |