مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carrarese v Monza

البداية: 2026-02-21 18:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carrarese (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.94%4.01السعر العادل
EV +0.503%
الأفضلية +0.125%
Kelly +0.166%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.80%24.85%25.01%26.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.723.754.0329.85%26.89%26.67%24.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Monza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.46%2.15السعر العادل
EV -3.36%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -3.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.50%46.46%46.41%47.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.961.952.0855.56%50.93%51.28%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.60%3.50السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.02%28.69%28.58%30.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.193.233.4035.71%31.36%31.01%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.03I 24.81%NM 24.01%EV +0.503%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -3.91%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 18:29
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:30
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:29
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:30
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:30
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:29
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:29
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:29
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.76%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 18:30
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:29
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:22
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:29
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:30
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-21 18:30
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:29
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:29
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:29
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:29
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 18:29
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:29
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:29
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:29
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:30
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:30
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-21 18:30
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.92%E -7.12%K -11.07%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 18:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.65%E -6.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -14.46%E -4.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.68%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 18:27
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 18:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-21 18:30
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-21 18:30
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%5.1%2026-02-21 18:30