L’École des cotesFrançais
Carrarese v Monza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carrarese (Local)
Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.503%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.166%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.85%25.01%26.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.723.754.0329.85%26.89%26.67%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Monza (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.46%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.50%46.46%46.41%47.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.961.952.0855.56%50.93%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.60%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.02%28.69%28.58%30.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.193.233.4035.71%31.36%31.01%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.01%EV +0.503%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -3.91%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.05%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| BetUS | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.76%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:22 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -10.33%E -5.35%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.54%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.26%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -16.37%E -9.09%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -19.92%E -7.12%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.65%E -6.73%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -14.46%E -4.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.68%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 18:27 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -9.86%E -5.08%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |