Carrarese v Mantova

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

41%

29%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Prediction 40.80%2.45fair odd

EV -4.12%

Edge -1.75%

Kelly -3.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.25%40.80%40.76%41.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.182.202.3549%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Mantova (Visit)

Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd

EV -6.36%

Edge -1.96%

Kelly -2.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.23%28.81%28.66%29.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.903.113.103.2534%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.39%3.29fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -0.861%

Kelly -1.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.87%30.39%30.57%30.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.782.943.003.2036%34%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -2.76%E -0.861%K -1.25%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-23 23:04
Betsson	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
NordicBet	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.36%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
FanDuel	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-23 20:00
1xBet	2.22I 45.05%NM 40.98%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%	3.17I 31.55%NM 28.70%EV -8.67%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-23 20:00
Sky Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -14.91%E -5.33%K -8.28%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-23 22:30
Winamax (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-07-23 19:59
Unibet (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.91%E -5.33%K -8.28%G +0.000%	16.7%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betclic (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -16.36%E -7.98%K -15.58%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.23%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 30.46%EV -15.52%E -5.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%	18.1%	2026-07-23 20:03
Winamax (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 41.00%EV -16.36%E -7.98%K -15.58%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 28.98%EV -16.45%E -5.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.02%EV -14.91%E -5.33%K -8.28%G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-07-23 20:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.