The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Carrarese v Mantova

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carrarese (Local)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%40.40%40.24%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.152.4150.00%45.59%46.51%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mantova (Visit)

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -0.033%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%30.11%30.27%31.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.093.3035.09%32.40%32.31%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.26%29.48%29.49%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.203.3035.09%32.10%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carrarese (Local): 40.29%; Mantova (Visit): 30.29%; Draw: 29.42%. For Mantova (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.301. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.300, with an expected value of -0.033%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.51%EV -2.90%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.82%EV -6.39%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.93%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 13:39
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.17%E -5.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 21:15
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.72%E -2.44%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 03:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -7.91%E -2.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 12:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 02:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 02:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 17:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 06:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 06:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 06:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 06:40
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.09%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 02:40
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.09%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 02:39
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -1.55%E -0.476%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 15:03
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.76%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-11 02:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.49%EV -14.58%E -6.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.12%EV -13.67%E -4.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -14.11%E -4.83%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-11 12:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -15.28%E -5.31%K -8.13%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-03 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-11 02:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-11 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -13.67%E -4.79%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-11 02:39
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:34
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:39
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 16:49
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -16.19%E -7.79%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -3.06%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.87%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -19.42%E -9.71%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-07 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 40.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%16.1%2026-08-12 17:05

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