Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Carrarese v Mantova

Inizio: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Finale: Carrarese 1–2 Mantova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Carrarese (Casa)

Previsione 36.75%2.72quota equa
EV -0.405%
Vantaggio -0.149%
Kelly -0.237%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.15%36.61%36.79%38.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.482.502.7144.84%40.25%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mantova (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.78%2.96quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.93%33.82%33.78%35.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.722.702.8639.22%36.75%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.46%3.39quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.838%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.94%29.57%29.42%32.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Carrarese (Casa): 36.75%; Mantova (Trasferta): 33.78%; Pareggio: 29.46%. Per Carrarese (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.72. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.71, con un valore atteso del -0.405%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.58%EV -0.405%E -0.149%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.71%EV -3.38%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.772%E -0.286%K -0.454%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -17.50%E -6.25%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -2.61%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -3.34%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -7.43%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -7.43%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:44
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -7.43%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -4.81%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.16%EV -5.18%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.07%E -2.59%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.72%EV -5.18%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.76%EV -7.77%E -2.85%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.52%EV -11.02%E -3.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 15:08
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 12:04
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 12:10
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:04
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 12:05
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:29
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:28
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.15%E -4.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 12:44
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:04
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 12:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 12:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.15%E -4.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 11:49
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -2.77%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -11.06%E -4.57%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.16%EV -13.85%E -5.43%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.84%EV -13.96%E -4.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-22 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 11:59
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -13.64%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -13.64%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.52%EV -14.74%E -6.35%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -15.47%E -6.73%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -15.47%E -6.73%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.45%EV -18.05%E -8.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.98%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-08-22 15:20