Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bari v Venezia

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Bari 0–3 Venezia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bari (Local)

Prediction 13.24%7.55fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 7.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.42%13.35%13.28%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.756.757.7616.67%14.82%14.81%12.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Venezia (Visit)

Prediction 67.45%1.48fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -8.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.21%67.23%67.42%68.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.381.381.4377.52%72.40%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.30%5.18fair odd
EV -0.786%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.17%19.42%19.30%21.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.575.1425.00%21.86%21.86%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bari (Local): 13.24%; Venezia (Visit): 67.45%; Draw: 19.30%. For Bari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯7.76I 12.89%NM 12.42%EV +2.77%E +0.357%K +0.410%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.83%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.75%EV -0.786%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 12:40
1xBet🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -0.009%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.44%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.97%EV -12.56%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.24%E -4.49%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -2.00%E -0.270%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -6.38%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.67%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:40
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:39
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:29
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:39
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:40
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:50
theScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.37%EV -12.98%E -10.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.52%EV -12.59%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.09%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -12.17%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -22.79%E -5.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -4.22%E -2.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -18.93%E -4.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -19.21%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.32%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.86%E -5.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%2.0%2026-04-18 12:50