L’École des cotes

Bari v Venezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Score final : Bari 0–3 Venezia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bari (Local)

Prévision 13.24%7.55cote équitable
EV +2.77%
Avantage +0.357%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 7.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.42%13.35%13.28%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.756.757.7616.67%14.82%14.81%12.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.45%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -2.48%
Kelly -8.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.21%67.23%67.42%68.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.381.381.4377.52%72.40%72.46%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.30%5.18cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.17%19.42%19.30%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.575.1425.00%21.86%21.86%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle7.76I 12.89%NM 12.42%EV +2.77%E +0.357%K +0.410%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.83%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.75%EV -0.786%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 12:40
1xBet7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -0.009%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.44%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.97%EV -12.56%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.24%E -4.49%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -2.00%E -0.270%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -6.38%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.67%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
LowVig.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:50
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:40
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:39
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:29
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:39
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:40
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:50
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:49
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.37%EV -12.98%E -10.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.52%EV -12.59%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.09%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -12.17%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -22.79%E -5.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -4.22%E -2.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -18.93%E -4.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 12:40
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -19.21%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.32%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.86%E -5.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 09:55
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%2.0%2026-04-18 12:50