La escuela de los momios

Bari v Venezia

Inicio: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Bari 0–3 Venezia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bari (Local)

Predicción 13.24%7.55momio equitativo
EV +2.77%
Ventaja +0.357%
Kelly +0.410%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.42%13.35%13.28%14.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.756.757.7616.67%14.82%14.81%12.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Venezia (Visitante)

Predicción 67.45%1.48momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -8.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.21%67.23%67.42%68.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.381.381.4377.52%72.40%72.46%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.30%5.18momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.17%19.42%19.30%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.575.1425.00%21.86%21.86%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle7.76I 12.89%NM 12.42%EV +2.77%E +0.357%K +0.410%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.83%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.75%EV -0.786%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 12:40
1xBet7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -0.009%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.44%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.97%EV -12.56%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Coolbet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.24%E -4.49%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.671%E -0.089%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -2.00%E -0.270%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -6.38%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:50
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -3.98%E -0.549%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.67%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:39
LowVig.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.64%E -0.645%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.35%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:50
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:40
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:39
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:29
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:39
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:40
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.29%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.62%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.49%E -0.698%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:50
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:49
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -10.60%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.37%EV -12.98%E -10.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -15.07%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.52%EV -12.59%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.09%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:49
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -17.00%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.31%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 12:39
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -12.17%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -13.91%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -22.79%E -5.70%K -7.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -4.22%E -2.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -15.24%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.43%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -17.96%E -4.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -5.42%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -18.93%E -4.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Sky Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -17.23%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 12:40
PMU (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -19.21%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.32%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.86%E -5.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.08%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.14%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 09:55
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -20.54%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.02%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -11.21%E -2.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.02%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41%0.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%2.0%2026-04-18 12:50