A Escola das Odds

Bari v Südtirol

Início: 2026-05-15 18:00 UTC

Final: Bari 0–0 Südtirol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bari (Local)

Previsão 29.77%3.36odd justa
EV +2.70%
Vantagem +0.783%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.59%29.76%29.76%31.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.043.003.4535.71%32.86%33.33%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Südtirol (Visitante)

Previsão 38.78%2.58odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.35%38.63%38.99%40.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.382.402.5047.62%42.07%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.45%3.18odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.805%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.26%31.60%31.25%34.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.922.953.1039.22%34.24%33.90%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV +2.70%E +0.783%K +1.10%G +0.030%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -7.53%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 17:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 17:55
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.87%E -3.78%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:54
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:55
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -2.36%E -0.719%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -9.10%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 17:55
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 14:54
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 17:54
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 17:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 17:45
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -5.33%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 17:40
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 13:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 14:15
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:40
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:40
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 17:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 17:06
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 17:10
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -18.57%E -8.84%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-15 17:45
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -14.69%E -6.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -14.45%E -5.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 17:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 17:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 14:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 14:15
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 17:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 14:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 13:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 17:15
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:40
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:15
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 17:41
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 17:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 13:05
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 17:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 13:05
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 17:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%0.3%2026-05-15 17:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-15 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:55