مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bari v Südtirol

البداية: 2026-05-15 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bari 0–0 Südtirol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bari (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.77%3.36السعر العادل
EV +2.70%
الأفضلية +0.783%
Kelly +1.10%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.59%29.76%29.76%31.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.043.003.4535.71%32.86%33.33%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Südtirol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.78%2.58السعر العادل
EV -3.05%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.35%38.63%38.99%40.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.382.402.5047.62%42.07%41.67%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.45%3.18السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -0.805%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.26%31.60%31.25%34.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.922.953.1039.22%34.24%33.90%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV +2.70%E +0.783%K +1.10%G +0.030%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -7.53%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 17:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 17:55
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.87%E -3.78%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 17:54
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:55
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -2.36%E -0.719%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -9.10%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 17:55
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 14:54
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 17:54
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 17:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 17:45
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -5.33%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:50
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 17:40
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 13:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 14:15
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:40
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:40
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 17:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 17:06
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 17:10
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -18.57%E -8.84%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-15 17:45
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -14.69%E -6.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -14.45%E -5.31%K -8.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-15 17:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 17:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 14:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 14:15
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 17:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 14:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 17:40
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 13:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 17:15
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 17:40
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:40
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:15
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 17:41
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 17:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-15 13:05
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 17:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 13:05
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 17:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%0.3%2026-05-15 17:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-15 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:55