L’École des cotesFrançais
Bari v Südtirol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bari (Local)
Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.783%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%29.76%29.76%31.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.003.4535.71%32.86%33.33%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Südtirol (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.78%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.35%38.63%38.99%40.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.382.402.5047.62%42.07%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.45%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%31.60%31.25%34.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.922.953.1039.22%34.24%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV +2.70%E +0.783%K +1.10%G +0.030% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -7.53%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.87%E -3.78%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -2.36%E -0.719%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -9.10%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 14:54 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -5.33%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 17:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -18.57%E -8.84%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -14.69%E -6.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -14.45%E -5.31%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 13:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 17:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |