La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bari v Südtirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bari (Local)
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV +2.70%
Ventaja +0.783%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%29.76%29.76%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.003.4535.71%32.86%33.33%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Südtirol (Visitante)
Predicción 38.78%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.35%38.63%38.99%40.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.382.402.5047.62%42.07%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%31.60%31.25%34.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.922.953.1039.22%34.24%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV +2.70%E +0.783%K +1.10%G +0.030% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.92%EV -7.53%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.87%E -3.78%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -8.48%E -3.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -2.36%E -0.719%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.31%EV -9.10%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 14:54 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -5.33%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.50%E -0.805%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 17:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -19.80%E -7.76%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.93%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -18.57%E -8.84%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.08%E -5.58%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-15 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -14.69%E -6.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -14.45%E -5.31%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.73%E -3.39%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-15 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.50%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.07%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 13:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 17:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.64%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 13:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -9.65%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.36%E -3.63%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.41% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |