The School of Odds
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Avellino v Palermo

2026-09-13 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avellino (Local)

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.59%25.38%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8030.30%27.98%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Visit)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.32%44.95%45.16%45.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.052.1253.48%49.16%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.34%29.45%29.46%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.103.3033.90%32.31%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Avellino (Local): 25.49%; Palermo (Visit): 45.04%; Draw: 29.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.24%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 00:35
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.64%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:35
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 00:35
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.25%EV -6.76%E -3.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.09%EV -5.13%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 01:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 00:15
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 00:35
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -9.01%E -4.46%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.21%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 01:40
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -2.77%E -0.839%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 00:45
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:50
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 21:25
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 00:40
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.71%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 00:40
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 00:40
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.24%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.41%EV -13.07%E -6.77%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -12.20%E -4.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 00:34
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.81%E -5.46%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.96%EV -15.77%E -8.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.13%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-08 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -12.61%E -6.50%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-08 00:35
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.16%E -6.24%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%16.1%2026-09-08 00:35