Idioma:Español
Avellino v Palermo
Resultado del partido
Avellino (Local)
Predicción 25.59%3.91momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.721%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%25.69%25.62%26.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.603.8030.30%28.15%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palermo (Visitante)
Predicción 45.16%2.21momio equitativo
EV -5.17%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -4.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%45.10%45.09%45.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.032.052.1053.48%49.23%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.550%
Ventaja -0.162%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.06%29.22%29.28%30.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.123.103.4033.90%32.00%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Avellino (Local): 25.59%; Palermo (Visitante): 45.16%; Empate: 29.25%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, con un valor esperado de -0.550%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.64%EV -6.11%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -6.98%E -3.39%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.79%E -4.35%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.88%EV -7.35%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.83%EV -5.62%E -2.69%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.35%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.53%E -3.15%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.550%E -0.162%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.17%E -2.46%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.86%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 02:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -10.93%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.41%EV -12.85%E -6.66%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -12.84%E -4.31%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -10.59%E -5.35%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.96%EV -15.56%E -8.32%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.13%EV -13.71%E -4.65%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.43%E -3.62%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 02:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.69%E -4.84%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -12.40%E -6.39%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.95%E -6.13%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69% | 16.1% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |