默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Avellino v Palermo

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 15:15 UTC

最终结果: Avellino 1–1 Palermo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Avellino (主队)

预测 24.71%4.05公平赔率
EV +2.81%
优势 +0.675%
Kelly +0.888%
增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 4.16

博彩公司预测分布
22.43%24.71%24.71%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.703.704.1629.41%27.06%27.03%24.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Palermo (客队)

预测 47.07%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
45.38%47.04%47.06%49.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.961.972.0654.64%51.08%50.76%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.22%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.351%
Kelly -0.492%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.92%28.25%28.23%29.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.253.303.5033.90%30.77%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Avellino (主队):24.71%;Palermo (客队):47.07%;平局:28.22%。 对于“Avellino (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.05。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.16,对应+2.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +2.81%E +0.675%K +0.888%G +0.025%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.84%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 15:11
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +1.32%E +0.323%K +0.427%G +0.006%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:30
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.15%E -0.287%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:30
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.15%E -0.287%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:56
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.15%E -0.287%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.15%E -0.287%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -3.62%E -0.928%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 15:05
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -3.62%E -0.928%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -7.75%E -3.95%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.32%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:20
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:24
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:55
1xBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.89%EV -5.60%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -3.49%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:46
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:46
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:46
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:46
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:45
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 14:51
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 14:56
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:20
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:20
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.33%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 14:45
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:15
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -9.80%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.83%EV -9.63%E -5.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:46
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -9.80%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 14:46
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -9.80%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 14:45
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -9.80%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.59%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.54%EV -16.75%E -5.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 15:11
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.69%E -4.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:20
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 15:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.85%EV -11.04%E -5.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -13.87%E -7.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -12.27%E -3.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -12.46%E -6.70%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.12%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 15:11
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 13:20
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 13:20
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 12:15
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -10.57%E -5.56%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.10%E -5.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.87%E -7.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-13 14:41
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.98%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:05
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.98%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:11
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.98%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -15.98%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.98%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:11
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 15:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 15:11
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 15:11
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-09-13 15:11