Language:English
Avellino v Juve Stabia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avellino (Local)
Prediction 32.96%3.03fair odd
EV -0.143%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.071%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%32.98%32.83%35.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.742.753.0341.67%36.50%36.36%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juve Stabia (Visit)
Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.11%33.73%33.94%35.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.762.9040.82%36.40%36.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.29%3.00fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.69%33.30%33.23%34.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.762.782.9040.82%36.21%35.97%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 32.96%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 33.76%; Draw: 33.29%. For Avellino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.034. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.030, with an expected value of -0.143%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -0.143%E -0.047%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.85%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.21%EV -5.79%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.78%E -0.942%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.77%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -7.51%E -2.74%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -8.79%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -6.73%E -2.38%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.27%EV -10.46%E -3.89%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -12.79%E -4.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -12.45%E -4.73%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 18:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.82%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.12%EV -16.11%E -6.39%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -17.30%E -7.06%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -18.44%E -7.53%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.96%E -6.26%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.99%EV -17.61%E -7.04%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.68%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.32%EV -15.12%E -5.93%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -20.91%E -8.71%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.66%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.15% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.81% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |