La escuela de los momios

Avellino v Juve Stabia

Inicio: 2026-02-28 18:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Avellino (Local)

Predicción 32.96%3.03momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.047%
Kelly -0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.76%32.98%32.83%35.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.742.753.0341.67%36.50%36.36%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juve Stabia (Visitante)

Predicción 33.76%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.11%33.73%33.94%35.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.752.762.9040.82%36.40%36.17%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.29%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.69%33.30%33.23%34.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.762.782.9040.82%36.21%35.97%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -0.143%E -0.047%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.85%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.21%EV -5.79%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 18:29
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.78%E -0.942%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 18:28
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.77%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -7.51%E -2.74%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -8.79%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:29
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:30
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:29
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -6.73%E -2.38%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.27%EV -10.46%E -3.89%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:16
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -12.79%E -4.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 18:30
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:30
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:29
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -12.45%E -4.73%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 18:29
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:30
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 18:29
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 18:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 18:28
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 32.82%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.12%EV -16.11%E -6.39%K -10.60%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:29
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -17.30%E -7.06%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -18.44%E -7.53%K -12.72%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.96%E -6.26%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.99%EV -17.61%E -7.04%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.68%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.32%EV -15.12%E -5.93%K -9.75%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-28 18:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -20.91%E -8.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.66%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%0.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.15%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.81%2.0%2026-02-28 18:30