L’École des cotes

Avellino v Juve Stabia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Avellino (Local)

Prévision 32.96%3.03cote équitable
EV -0.143%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.071%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.76%32.98%32.83%35.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.742.753.0341.67%36.50%36.36%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juve Stabia (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.11%33.73%33.94%35.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.752.762.9040.82%36.40%36.17%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.29%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.69%33.30%33.23%34.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.762.782.9040.82%36.21%35.97%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -0.143%E -0.047%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.85%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.21%EV -5.79%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 18:29
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.78%E -0.942%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 18:28
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.77%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -7.51%E -2.74%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -8.79%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:29
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:30
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.43%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -5.13%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -3.46%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:29
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -6.73%E -2.38%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.27%EV -10.46%E -3.89%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:16
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -12.79%E -4.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 18:30
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:30
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.38%E -3.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.46%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:29
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -12.45%E -4.73%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 18:29
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:30
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 18:29
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.79%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -12.67%E -4.78%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 18:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.46%E -3.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -8.18%E -3.01%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 18:28
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 32.82%EV -13.66%E -5.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.12%EV -16.11%E -6.39%K -10.60%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 18:29
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.03%EV -14.31%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -17.30%E -7.06%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.99%EV -18.44%E -7.53%K -12.72%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 18:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.96%E -6.26%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -11.79%E -4.45%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.99%EV -17.61%E -7.04%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.68%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.32%EV -15.12%E -5.93%K -9.75%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-28 18:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -20.91%E -8.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.66%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -10.12%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%0.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.15%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.81%2.0%2026-02-28 18:30