Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 4.69
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ascoli (Local): 50.76%; Carrarese (Visit): 22.46%; Draw: 26.79%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.69%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.61%EV +5.33%E +1.14%K +1.44%G +0.077% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.70%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.75%E -0.636%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.16%E -5.74%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.13%E -4.49%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -12.14%E -3.70%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.65%EV -5.90%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 18:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -10.67%E -6.06%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -11.69%E -6.72%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -15.62%E -4.96%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -9.66%E -5.42%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.05%EV -14.73%E -8.77%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 13:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 18:55 |