Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ascoli v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 19:01 UTC

Score final : Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ascoli (Local)

Prévision 50.76%1.97cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -3.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.37%50.72%50.71%52.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.821.9059.52%55.24%54.95%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.46%4.45cote équitable
EV +5.33%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%22.45%22.43%23.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.104.6926.67%24.52%24.39%21.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -0.992%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%26.83%26.86%27.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.433.403.6031.75%29.17%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ascoli (Local) : 50.76% ; Carrarese (Visiteur) : 22.46% ; Match nul : 26.79%. Pour Carrarese (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.45. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.69, soit une espérance positive de +5.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.69%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.61%EV +5.33%E +1.14%K +1.44%G +0.077%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.70%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.75%E -0.636%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.16%E -5.74%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.13%E -4.49%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -12.14%E -3.70%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.65%EV -5.90%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:14
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:53
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:34
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -10.67%E -6.06%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -11.69%E -6.72%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -15.62%E -4.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:24
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -9.66%E -5.42%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.05%EV -14.73%E -8.77%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-29 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-08-29 18:55