Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ascoli v Carrarese

Início: 2026-08-29 19:01 UTC

Final: Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ascoli (Local)

Previsão 50.76%1.97odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -3.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.37%50.72%50.71%52.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.811.821.9059.52%55.24%54.95%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carrarese (Visitante)

Previsão 22.46%4.45odd justa
EV +5.33%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescimento +0.077%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.61%22.45%22.43%23.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.084.104.6926.67%24.52%24.39%21.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -0.992%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%26.83%26.86%27.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.433.403.6031.75%29.17%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ascoli (Local): 50.76%; Carrarese (Visitante): 22.46%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Carrarese (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.45. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.69, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.69%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.61%EV +5.33%E +1.14%K +1.44%G +0.077%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.70%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.75%E -0.636%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -5.59%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.16%E -5.74%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.43%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.13%E -4.49%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -12.14%E -3.70%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.65%EV -5.90%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:14
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:53
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:34
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -10.67%E -6.06%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -11.69%E -6.72%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -12.19%E -7.05%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -15.62%E -4.96%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:24
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.18%E -6.39%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.70%E -7.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.41%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -9.66%E -5.42%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -13.53%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.63%E -4.19%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.05%EV -14.73%E -8.77%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-29 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-08-29 18:55