Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-23 16:30 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Venezia (Local)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.2544.43%Mean

2.2544.44%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.12%2.492Min

41.93%2.385Max

40.95%2.442Mean

40.78%2.452Median

40.89%2.446IQM

40.98%2.440Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.89%

EV -1.87%Edge -0.778%Kelly -1.33%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Lecce (Visit)

Odds

2.7536.36%Min

3.1132.19%Mean

3.1032.26%Median

3.3330.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.35%3.407Min

30.57%3.271Max

29.65%3.373Mean

29.63%3.375Median

29.65%3.373IQM

29.63%3.375Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.33 under the IQM model: 29.65%

EV -1.27%Edge -0.380%Kelly -0.543%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

2.9034.48%Min

3.1731.58%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.3330.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

28.59%3.498Min

30.41%3.288Max

29.40%3.401Mean

29.59%3.379Median

29.46%3.394IQM

29.39%3.402Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.33 under the IQM model: 29.46%

EV -1.89%Edge -0.568%Kelly -0.812%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Venezia (Local) ▼	Lecce (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.96%EV -1.87% E -0.778% K -1.33% G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03% NM 29.52%EV -1.27% E -0.380% K -0.543% G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03% NM 29.52%EV -1.89% E -0.568% K -0.812% G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-06-27 19:30
Marathon Bet	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.95%EV -3.91% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67% NM 29.52%EV -3.34% E -1.02% K -1.48% G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67% NM 29.52%EV -3.95% E -1.21% K -1.75% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-27 19:19
Caesars	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.12%EV -3.91% E -1.66% K -2.90% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.46%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.41%EV -8.67% E -2.80% K -4.13% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-25 22:46
Codere (IT)	2.33I 42.92% NM 40.90%EV -4.73% E -2.03% K -3.56% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.78%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 29.32%EV -4.25% E -1.31% K -1.89% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-04 22:05
Pinnacle	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -5.14% E -2.22% K -3.89% G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45% NM 29.67%EV -5.71% E -1.80% K -2.62% G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45% NM 29.67%EV -6.31% E -1.98% K -2.90% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-19 15:00
SportsBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.40%EV -5.96% E -2.59% K -4.58% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.75%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.85%EV -2.78% E -0.841% K -1.21% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-19 11:00
betfred_uk	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.21%EV -5.96% E -2.59% K -4.58% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.62%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 29.17%EV -4.25% E -1.31% K -1.89% G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-19 10:59
Bet Victor	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.34%EV -5.96% E -2.59% K -4.58% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.93%EV -8.08% E -2.61% K -3.85% G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05% NM 29.74%EV -8.08% E -2.59% K -3.81% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-03 15:08
FanDuel	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.93%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.48%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.59%EV -2.78% E -0.841% K -1.21% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-19 11:00
Tipico (DE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.93%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.48%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.59%EV -2.78% E -0.841% K -1.21% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 09:10
Betr (AU)	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.75%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.35%EV -5.12% E -1.60% K -2.33% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.90%EV -4.25% E -1.31% K -1.89% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-30 02:59
Sky Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.35%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.02%EV -8.08% E -2.61% K -3.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.63%EV -4.25% E -1.31% K -1.89% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-19 11:00
LeoVegas	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.78%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.09%EV -9.57% E -3.14% K -4.67% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.13%EV -7.20% E -2.28% K -3.35% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:20
Winamax (DE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.76%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -11.05% E -3.68% K -5.52% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -5.72% E -1.79% K -2.60% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-25 04:30
DraftKings	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.40%EV -8.00% E -3.56% K -6.40% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.80%EV -9.57% E -3.14% K -4.67% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.80%EV -10.14% E -3.33% K -4.95% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-29 00:09
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.72%EV -10.05% E -4.57% K -8.37% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.60%EV -8.08% E -2.61% K -3.85% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.68%EV -5.72% E -1.79% K -2.60% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-19 11:00
Unibet (UK)	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.72%EV -10.05% E -4.57% K -8.37% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.60%EV -8.08% E -2.61% K -3.85% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.68%EV -5.72% E -1.79% K -2.60% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-25 18:50
BoyleSports	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.54%EV -10.05% E -4.57% K -8.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -11.05% E -3.68% K -5.52% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -11.62% E -3.87% K -5.81% G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (FR)	2.15I 46.51% NM 40.89%EV -12.09% E -5.62% K -10.51% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.80%EV -12.53% E -4.25% K -6.43% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.31%EV -11.62% E -3.87% K -5.81% G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-06-25 04:30
Betclic (FR)	2.13I 46.95% NM 41.12%EV -12.91% E -6.06% K -11.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.69%EV -12.53% E -4.25% K -6.43% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.19%EV -11.62% E -3.87% K -5.81% G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-06-25 04:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62% NM 40.34%EV -14.13% E -6.73% K -12.85% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.41%EV -14.61% E -5.07% K -7.77% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 30.25%EV -17.51% E -6.25% K -9.73% G +0.000%	18.1%	2026-06-20 11:00
NetBet (FR)	2.07I 48.31% NM 41.07%EV -15.36% E -7.42% K -14.36% G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84% NM 29.62%EV -14.90% E -5.19% K -7.97% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 29.31%EV -14.56% E -5.02% K -7.66% G +0.000%	17.6%	2026-06-22 20:09
Winamax (FR)	2.05I 48.78% NM 40.78%EV -16.18% E -7.89% K -15.41% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 30.40%EV -18.46% E -6.71% K -10.55% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 28.83%EV -14.56% E -5.02% K -7.66% G +0.000%	19.6%	2026-06-25 04:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Venezia (Local)	Lecce (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.36I 42.37%	3.30I 30.30%	3.15I 31.75%	4.4%	2026-07-05 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.36I 42.37%	3.30I 30.30%	3.10I 32.26%	4.9%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.36I 42.37%	3.30I 30.30%	3.10I 32.26%	4.9%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.36I 42.37%	3.30I 30.30%	3.10I 32.26%	4.9%	2026-07-05 10:10