The School of Odds

Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 40.44%2.47fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.47%40.44%41.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.4247%43%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.091%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.46%30.28%30.34%31.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.083.3134%33%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%29.25%29.21%30.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.3333%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV -2.12%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.75%EV +0.210%E +0.063%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%EV -2.50%E -0.750%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-21 18:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -1.91%E -0.589%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -4.55%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 21:10
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 00:52
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:25
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:09
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:14
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 00:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 00:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 11:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 22:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 22:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.11%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 16:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:15
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.79%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 22:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 06:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-16 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-24 21:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.29%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%5.2%2026-07-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 37.41%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.32%2.38I 42.02%NM 34.27%22.6%2026-07-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 37.41%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.32%2.38I 42.02%NM 34.27%22.6%2026-07-25 16:00