L’École des cotes

Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prévision 40.44%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.877%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.59%40.47%40.44%41.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.302.4246.51%43.34%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lecce (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.27%3.30cote équitable
EV +0.210%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.46%30.28%30.34%31.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.063.083.3134.48%32.65%32.52%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.28%3.42cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.750%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.20%29.25%29.21%30.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.253.3333.33%31.26%30.77%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV -2.12%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.75%EV +0.210%E +0.063%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%EV -2.50%E -0.750%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-21 18:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -1.91%E -0.589%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -4.55%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 21:10
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 00:52
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:25
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:09
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:14
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 00:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 00:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 11:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 22:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 22:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.11%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 16:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:15
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.79%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 22:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 06:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-16 22:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 21:40