La escuela de los momios

Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-23 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Predicción 40.44%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.59%40.47%40.44%41.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4246.51%43.34%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lecce (Visitante)

Predicción 30.27%3.30momio equitativo
EV +0.210%
Ventaja +0.063%
Kelly +0.091%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.46%30.28%30.34%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.083.3134.48%32.65%32.52%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.20%29.25%29.21%30.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.253.3333.33%31.26%30.77%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV -2.12%E -0.877%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.75%EV +0.210%E +0.063%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%EV -2.50%E -0.750%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-21 18:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -1.91%E -0.589%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -4.55%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 21:10
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.12%E -0.975%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 00:52
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:25
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 15:00
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -6.89%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 23:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:09
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:14
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 00:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 00:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 00:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -8.65%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 22:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:44
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 11:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 22:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 22:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -4.84%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.11%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 16:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:15
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.79%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-16 22:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 06:59
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.16%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-16 22:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%4.7%2026-07-25 21:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 40.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%9.2%2026-07-26 03:05