默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli v Frosinone

2026-10-10 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli (主队)

预测 66.87%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -6.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
64.68%66.94%66.92%68.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.401.401.4576.34%71.35%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frosinone (客队)

预测 13.32%7.51公平赔率
EV +3.88%
优势 +0.498%
Kelly +0.571%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 7.80

博彩公司预测分布
12.07%13.37%13.29%14.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.967.007.8017.24%14.37%14.29%12.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.82%5.05公平赔率
EV +3.05%
优势 +0.586%
Kelly +0.725%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
18.12%19.68%19.80%21.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.614.605.2023.81%21.68%21.74%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Napoli (主队):66.87%;Frosinone (客队):13.32%;平局:19.82%。 对于“Frosinone (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.51。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为7.80,由此产生+3.88%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV +3.88%E +0.498%K +0.571%G +0.022%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -9.84%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 14:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%EV +1.22%E +0.160%K +0.185%G +0.002%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%EV +1.06%E +0.209%K +0.259%G +0.003%1.7%2026-09-16 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.918%E -0.184%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 14:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -1.45%E -0.195%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -3.44%E -0.475%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.21%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.39%E -6.13%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +3.05%E +0.586%K +0.725%G +0.022%6.1%2026-09-16 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.36%EV -5.97%E -0.846%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.97%EV -12.41%E -9.47%K -40.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.09%EV -10.77%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.06%E -6.66%K -25.18%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.57%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:41
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -11.07%E -8.32%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -22.75%E -3.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-16 14:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 64.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%17.1%2026-09-16 14:45