Idioma:Español
Napoli v Frosinone
Resultado del partido
Napoli (Local)
Predicción 66.87%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -6.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.68%66.94%66.92%68.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.401.401.4576.34%71.35%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Frosinone (Visitante)
Predicción 13.32%7.51momio equitativo
EV +3.88%
Ventaja +0.498%
Kelly +0.571%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.07%13.37%13.29%14.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.806.967.007.8017.24%14.37%14.29%12.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.82%5.05momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.12%19.68%19.80%21.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.614.605.2023.81%21.68%21.74%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Napoli (Local): 66.87%; Frosinone (Visitante): 13.32%; Empate: 19.82%. Para Frosinone (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.51. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.88%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV +3.88%E +0.498%K +0.571%G +0.022% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -9.84%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%EV +1.22%E +0.160%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%EV +1.06%E +0.209%K +0.259%G +0.003% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.918%E -0.184%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -1.45%E -0.195%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -3.44%E -0.475%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.21%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.39%E -6.13%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +3.05%E +0.586%K +0.725%G +0.022% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.36%EV -5.97%E -0.846%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.97%EV -12.41%E -9.47%K -40.02%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.09%EV -10.77%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.06%E -6.66%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.57%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 14:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -11.07%E -8.32%K -33.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -22.75%E -3.92%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34% | 17.1% | 2026-09-16 14:45 |