StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli v Frosinone

2026-10-10 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli (Hemma)

Prognos 66.87%1.50rättvist odds
EV -3.05%
Fördel -2.10%
Kelly -6.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.68%66.94%66.92%68.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.311.401.401.4576.34%71.35%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frosinone (Borta)

Prognos 13.32%7.51rättvist odds
EV +3.88%
Fördel +0.498%
Kelly +0.571%
Tillväxt +0.022%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.07%13.37%13.29%14.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.806.967.007.8017.24%14.37%14.29%12.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.82%5.05rättvist odds
EV +3.05%
Fördel +0.586%
Kelly +0.725%
Tillväxt +0.022%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.12%19.68%19.80%21.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.614.605.2023.81%21.68%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Napoli (Hemma): 66.87%; Frosinone (Borta): 13.32%; Oavgjort: 19.82%. För Frosinone (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.51. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 7.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.88%.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV +3.88%E +0.498%K +0.571%G +0.022%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -9.84%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 14:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%EV -3.05%E -2.10%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%EV +1.22%E +0.160%K +0.185%G +0.002%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%EV +1.06%E +0.209%K +0.259%G +0.003%1.7%2026-09-16 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -4.38%E -3.06%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -0.113%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.918%E -0.184%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 14:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -1.45%E -0.195%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -1.91%E -0.386%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -3.44%E -0.475%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.21%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.39%E -6.13%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -4.11%E -0.571%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +3.05%E +0.586%K +0.725%G +0.022%6.1%2026-09-16 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.38%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.36%EV -5.97%E -0.846%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.90%E -0.592%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -5.05%E -3.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.77%E -0.968%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -5.72%E -4.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -10.10%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.97%EV -12.41%E -9.47%K -40.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.09%EV -10.77%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.06%E -6.66%K -25.18%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.57%EV -12.10%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:41
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -7.06%E -5.08%K -18.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.39%E -4.56%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -13.43%E -2.07%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.79%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -11.07%E -8.32%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%EV -22.75%E -3.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-16 14:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 64.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%17.1%2026-09-16 14:45